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On CIA, typewriters, and sensemaking

Check out my guest blog post on IBM’s Smarter Planet blog.  http://asmarterplanet.com/blog/2011/09/10766.html

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Thinking Ain’t What It Used To be

I’ve been reading a great book the last couple of weeks, Thinking, Fast and Slow by Daniel Kanehan. (I read books like I watch TV, I dip in and out, watching (or reading) several things at one time.) I...

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The Ten Habits of Non-Conventional Thinkers

One of the things I do a couple of times a year is lead a discussion on conventional wisdom. It wasn’t my idea to do this. I was asked a few years ago by someone who was teaching a class … Continue...

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Thinking in the Time of Coronavirus–Part 1

We need to put on our thinking caps. Continue reading →

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Thinking in the Time of Coronavirus–Part 2

Our ability to know is a function of our tools for knowing Continue reading →

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Going Forward

I was asked recently whether the Intelligence Community, and CIA specifically, would be able to go back and return to normal in a Biden presidency. My answer was NO! You might think that I was blaming...

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Political instability in US likely to continue even after Trump’s departure

(What follows is a mock analysis piece written from the perspective of an intelligence officer in a more or less neutral country, such as Switzerland or Norway. They’ve been asked the question by the...

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In Normal Times…

I’ve been thinking about how White Houses in the past would have prepared for the events of last week. I know that’s a stretch given that it’s hard to imagine any other administration but Trump’s...

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In Search of Insight

When I was a manager of analysis at CIA, I would hear our customers, often senior policymakers, demand more INSIGHT in our analysis. And I would go back and tell the analysts they needed to produce...

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Why I Watch Airplane Disaster Documentaries

One of the few television shows I watch religiously is Air Disasters. In the US it currently airs on the Smithsonian Channel and many episodes are available on YouTube. Many if not most of the episodes...

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